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Is a low prediction probability a bad predictor?

Posted By:      Posted Date: September 01, 2010    Points: 0   Category :Sql Server
I am wondering, if I see a decent lift in a model, but the prediction probability is very low, like 5%, isn't this telling me that the model is a poor predictor of my output?  Does this not say that I have a 95% chance of being wrong even though I have some lift?   Thank you for the help.

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